Fixed Rates Dropping

Tracy Head • December 19, 2022

Most years we see fixed rates start to drop towards the end of the calendar year as lenders try to boost their business to end the year strong. This year has been no exception.


Over the last few weeks I’ve seen fixed rates drop from close to six per cent about six weeks ago to 4.79 per cent and better as of this week. These rates vary depending on whether your mortgage is insured or not, but in relative terms we have seen close to a one per cent drop in many cases.


What does this mean in practical terms?


For one client I’m working with who is a single mom who is searching for a home to call her own, this increase in affordability has increased her purchase price by almost $20,000 which in her community puts her into a house rather than a condo.


For people who have upcoming renewals it may be time to connect and explore your options. If you are coming out of a fixed rate mortgage in the two per cent range, it is likely that you will be looking at a three month interest penalty to switch out of your current mortgage if you choose to do so before your actual renewal date.


I don’t advocate jumping ship really early in every case. Paying a prepayment penalty AND a higher interest rate isn’t always a great plan, but each situation is unique.


The next year is looking to be a bit bumpy with interest rates still, and from what I’m hearing rates will start trending down again towards the end of next year.


However, if you have a renewal coming up in the next four months I encourage you to reach out to explore your options now. With no historical research to support this, what I have seen for many years is interest rates pop up again as the new year starts.


I sat in on a call yesterday with the president of one of my favorite lenders. He had some interesting thoughts on the variable versus fixed conversation. Their firm has been watching delinquency rates carefully, and I was quite surprised to learn that the numbers of variable rate clients in arrears was actually far lower than the number of fixed rate clients in arrears.


I’m not sure whether that has to do with the proportionate split as to how many clients choose fixed over variable, or if there is something else that really affects these stats. I do know I am concerned for some of my variable rate clients as I know I am feeling the pinch with my own monthly mortgage payment increasing substantially.


I was also surprised to hear that most of the lender’s variable clients were choosing to stay the course

rather than lock into fixed rate terms.


If you are exploring whether locking in at this point makes sense for you, I encourage you to do your homework. Reach out to your mortgage person to run the numbers and see if this makes sense for you. With fixed rates now less than variable it may make sense, particularly if you are losing sleep at night.


However, if you are planning to make any changes over the next few years and are variable it most likely makes sense to stay the course.


Grateful to all who have reached out after reading my column to share their thoughts and feedback. Wishing you and yours a wonderful holiday season filled with love and laughter!!

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

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By Tracy Head February 7, 2025
This week I had a panicked call from a realtor I work with on a regular basis. One of her sellers had a sale that looked like it was going to collapse. He was counting on the sale of that home for the down payment of his next home. She called mid-day Wednesday. The sale was supposed to complete on Friday. She asked if I could talk to the purchaser and potentially arrange financing for her. Before you read the next part, this is not intended to single out any particular bank or mortgage person. It could just as easily be a mortgage broker or a branch employee. The back story is that the purchaser had been working with a mortgage specialist from one of the chartered banks since mid-December. The specialist gave the client the go-ahead to remove her financing subject January 17th. The specialist then said they needed to extend the closing date by a week. Then by another week. Then she told the client she would have to come up with twenty per cent for her down payment. The client scrambled and came up with the additional money needed for her financing to be approved. I might not have believed this story except I did see the email chain. So what actually happened? My guess is that the mortgage specialist did not have an approval in place with the insurer or her bank when she gave the client the ok to remove her financing. The client had not seen nor signed any mortgage paperwork before removing her financing subject; she was trusting that her mortgage person had things well in hand being as she was told she was approved and things were fine. The buyer in this case is a first-time home buyer and did not know any different. I have pulled off the odd miracle in my days but I had serious doubts about being able to help this client in one day, especially being as she was buying in a smaller remote community so we had fewer options. We were working on her application and 6:00 pm Wednesday evening had word that the bank she was originally working with had come through and would be sending mortgage instructions to the lawyer the following morning (we are now at the day prior to closing). When you are purchasing a home and applying for mortgage financing, I feel it is so important to work with a team of professionals that have your back. As someone who has never bought a home before or maybe hasn’t done so in many years its important to do your homework and understand the process. If you think things are going sideways with your financing please make sure you ask questions to better understand what’s happening. If you have a feeling that something is really wrong, don’t wait until you have no other options. When you choose a mortgage professional to work with (and realtor for that matter) do a bit of homework. Ask your friends who they have used and what their experience was like.  Buying a home is stressful enough on a good day, but what this poor client has been through could have been avoided had she had a better idea of what the home-buying process was supposed to look like.
By Tracy Head January 24, 2025
The easy fix isn’t always the right fix. I’ve been wondering how long it would take to see the fallout as clients who have been paying really low interest rates come up for renewal. We have all experienced a steep increase in the cost of living. Even though rates now are sitting where most clients qualified with the stress test when they originally got their mortgages, for many people life has happened in the meantime. What do I mean by that? Often clients are having to push right to the top of what they qualify for just to get into the housing market. As we are going through the mortgage approval process we talk about keeping big consumer purchases (financing a car or furniture as an example) to a minimum as additional loan payments reduce borrowing power. Once clients are into a home life does indeed happen. The older car dies and a new car is necessary. Little ones come along and that can affect family income and add a daycare bill to the bottom line. Property taxes increase. Grocery prices skyrocket. You know the list. Balances start creeping up on credit cards or lines of credit. There are lots of different mortgage products to help with consolidation of debt. Lately the challenge has been that even if clients have significant equity in their homes with the increased interest rates they may not qualify with traditional lenders. Alternative lenders and private lenders come into play as options in this case. I’ll leave the alternative lenders to another day because I have a cautionary tale about private lenders. Not all private lenders are created equal. I have several that I work with when my clients need a solution in the private world. There is a time and a place where a private mortgage is the ideal fit. As long as you have an exit strategy (a plan as to how it will be paid out in a relatively short time frame ie: one year) this can be a great option for clients. Then there is the private lender that hurts my heart. Heavy catchy marketing bombards us from multiple venues. Their jingle is running through my head as I write this. For them the bottom line is that if you have adequate equity in your home you are approved. Cool. That fixes the immediate problem. However, more times than I like to think about, this lender creates far bigger problems for people. Despite the fact that you have equity in your home you still have to make the payments on these private mortgages. Interest rates are usually around the 14% mark so payments are high and you are not making any headway with paying down the mortgage. If there is no significant increase in your income you struggle and find yourself in a financial bind again. They set up another mortgage with an even higher rate. When you sign on for a private mortgage your are responsible for covering your legal fees, the lender’s legal fees, and there is also a lender fee that is included. Even a small private mortgage can end up costing almost $10,000 to put in place. If you couldn’t cover expenses with your first mortgage (at reasonable rates) guess what happens when you start adding in more and bigger payments on top of your normal expenses? For most people the only out at this point is selling their home. That is a very hard conversation for me to have with clients, especially when they’ve been in their home for many years. If you are finding that there is more month than money, sitting down and reviewing your expenses is the first step to take. Are there any areas that you are able to cut back? Do you have any options for increasing your income?  If the answer is no, talking to a mortgage professional sooner rather than later may help identify some options before you end up in a never-ending cycle of sleepless nights and missed payments.
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