Fixed versus Variable

Tracy Head • September 9, 2024

One of the questions I am most often asked is “should I take a fixed or a variable rate”?

My answer to this question is different for each client.


My answer to this question may change based on the interest rate environment.

The last few years have been sobering to say the least. We were riding the high of historically low fixed interest rates and beginning to see them as the norm. 


Where interest rates are sitting now (mid four to five per cent) is closer to the average interest rate Canadians have paid over the last twenty years.


This week I attended a learning event and the economist that presented to the group spoke the words we have all been waiting to hear. He did qualify his thoughts with the comment that no one has a crystal ball and we’ve all seen what can happen with Bank of Canada monetary policy.

What he did say is that he feels we will see prime rate drop 1.25 to 1.5 per cent over the next year.


What does that mean in dollars and cents?


As an example, if your mortgage is $500,000 and your variable rate mortgage is priced at prime less 1.05 per cent, if prime drops one per cent this means your payment will be $283.28 per month lower.

This math applies if your variable rate mortgage has a payment that changes every month. If your variable mortgage has a static payment (payment that does not change to follow changes in prime) your payment stays the same but more money goes towards the principal instead of interest.

So it seems like variable is the obvious choice if you are finalizing your mortgage right now. 


But it may not be. 


Circling back to where I said each client has a unique set of circumstances, variable may not be the best option. 


Fixed rates for insured mortgages are hovering around 4.59 per cent (some lenders lower, some higher). For clients that are pushing to qualify for the maximum purchase price they can the one per cent difference between fixed and variable rates absolutely affects their borrowing power.


Lets say we are working with a family earning $120,000 annually. When we calculate their maximum purchase price using the minimum down payment and assuming $3,000 a year for property taxes here is the difference:

  • Using a fixed rate of 4.59 per cent we are looking at a purchase price of $525,000
  • Using a variable rate of prime less .95 per cent (5.49 per cent) we are looking at $475,000


Another consideration before choosing fixed or variable is individual risk tolerance. Do you have room in your budget if rates trend up instead of down that you will not be stressing if prime does increase?

Exit strategy is yet another thing to consider. With variable mortgages the maximum penalty you will pay if you pay your mortgage in full early is three months’ interest whereas with a fixed rate mortgage you will pay the greater of three months’ interest or your lender’s interest rate differential calculation. There can be quite a spread between the two.


If you are planning to pay off your mortgage in the next few years variable may be the route to go strictly for that reason.


And if you opt to choose a variable rate mortgage then decide you are not comfortable with potential changes, or if a few years in the fixed rates are far more attractive you can convert from a variable to a fixed rate mortgage. Win-win.


Deciding whether to go fixed or variable is absolutely an individual decision for all of the reasons above.


When the economist was asked whether he would choose a fixed or a variable mortgage himself right now there was no hesitation whatsoever. 


“Variable all day long” was his answer.



It will be interesting to see where rates are a year from now.

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

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By Tracy Head December 23, 2025
After more than two decades as a mortgage broker in Canada, I can tell you this: the questions I’m getting today are different from the ones I heard five or even three years ago. They’re more urgent. More personal. And often, more anxious. It’s not that Canadians suddenly forgot how mortgages work. It’s that we’re in a period of change — and change creates uncertainty. With so many mortgages coming up for renewal over the next couple of years, interest rates still higher than what people grew used to, and household budgets already stretched, clients want clarity. They want to understand how their financial lives might look one, two, or three years from now — and what they can do now to avoid being caught off guard. Here are some of the most common questions I’m asked right now: “How bad is my renewal going to be?” This is, without question, the number one concern. Many homeowners took out five-year fixed mortgages between 2019 and 2021, when rates were historically low. 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What’s often missing is context. Is that rate competitive? Does that product fit your future plans? Are there better options available elsewhere? More clients are realizing that mortgage decisions today have longer-lasting consequences than they did when rates were ultra-low. They want advice, not just a rate quote. They want someone to help them think through the next three years, not just the next three months. Looking Ahead: The Next 1–3 Years What all these questions have in common is uncertainty about the near future. Canadians know their mortgages matter — not just to their housing costs, but to their entire financial lives. With so many renewals approaching and the day to day cost of living still elevated, people want to feel prepared, not surprised. As a broker, my role isn’t to predict the future. It’s to help clients understand their options, model different scenarios, and make choices that align with their real lives — not just spreadsheets. If there’s one thing I’ve learned over the years, it’s this: the best mortgage decisions are made early, thoughtfully, and with good advice. And in today’s environment, that guidance matters more than ever.
By Tracy Head November 29, 2025
The topics I’ve written about over the years are almost always a reflection of a common theme I’ve seen or challenge I’ve dealt with since the last column I wrote. This one is no different.  The last few months, and particularly the last few weeks, have been among the most challenging in my mortgage career. I say challenging but that might also mean stressful. When working with clients and finding the right fit for their mortgage I look at many different factors. Rate is obviously one of the most important considerations. I also try to get a solid understanding of my clients’ short and longer term goals. For instance if the clients are looking to upsize from a home in the city to a rural property with acreage I will look at chartered banks or credit unions instead of a monoline lender. If the clients are purchasing a lease-hold property there are only a few lenders that will provide financing so that narrows the field. If the clients want direct access to manage their mortgage themselves I will place them with one of my favorite lenders that has an amazing client portal. Sometimes despite the client and the broker doing everything possible to ensure a smooth mortgage process things go sideways. Due to incredibly high volumes over the last few months I’ve seen refinance at renewal mortgages delayed by days or weeks. The stress for everyone involved is overwhelming. The most valuable lesson I’ve learned as a mortgage broker came from a wise more-seasoned broker about ten years ago. She said to me “when things are going sideways on a file, don’t get caught up thinking about what’s going wrong – think about what you need to do to fix it.” I have been hearing these words on repeat the last two weeks, and I think this is helping to keep me (and my clients) on track. If things do appear to be going sideways for you, I encourage you to connect with your mortgage person for regular updates.