Fixed versus Variable

Tracy Head • September 9, 2024

One of the questions I am most often asked is “should I take a fixed or a variable rate”?

My answer to this question is different for each client.


My answer to this question may change based on the interest rate environment.

The last few years have been sobering to say the least. We were riding the high of historically low fixed interest rates and beginning to see them as the norm. 


Where interest rates are sitting now (mid four to five per cent) is closer to the average interest rate Canadians have paid over the last twenty years.


This week I attended a learning event and the economist that presented to the group spoke the words we have all been waiting to hear. He did qualify his thoughts with the comment that no one has a crystal ball and we’ve all seen what can happen with Bank of Canada monetary policy.

What he did say is that he feels we will see prime rate drop 1.25 to 1.5 per cent over the next year.


What does that mean in dollars and cents?


As an example, if your mortgage is $500,000 and your variable rate mortgage is priced at prime less 1.05 per cent, if prime drops one per cent this means your payment will be $283.28 per month lower.

This math applies if your variable rate mortgage has a payment that changes every month. If your variable mortgage has a static payment (payment that does not change to follow changes in prime) your payment stays the same but more money goes towards the principal instead of interest.

So it seems like variable is the obvious choice if you are finalizing your mortgage right now. 


But it may not be. 


Circling back to where I said each client has a unique set of circumstances, variable may not be the best option. 


Fixed rates for insured mortgages are hovering around 4.59 per cent (some lenders lower, some higher). For clients that are pushing to qualify for the maximum purchase price they can the one per cent difference between fixed and variable rates absolutely affects their borrowing power.


Lets say we are working with a family earning $120,000 annually. When we calculate their maximum purchase price using the minimum down payment and assuming $3,000 a year for property taxes here is the difference:

  • Using a fixed rate of 4.59 per cent we are looking at a purchase price of $525,000
  • Using a variable rate of prime less .95 per cent (5.49 per cent) we are looking at $475,000


Another consideration before choosing fixed or variable is individual risk tolerance. Do you have room in your budget if rates trend up instead of down that you will not be stressing if prime does increase?

Exit strategy is yet another thing to consider. With variable mortgages the maximum penalty you will pay if you pay your mortgage in full early is three months’ interest whereas with a fixed rate mortgage you will pay the greater of three months’ interest or your lender’s interest rate differential calculation. There can be quite a spread between the two.


If you are planning to pay off your mortgage in the next few years variable may be the route to go strictly for that reason.


And if you opt to choose a variable rate mortgage then decide you are not comfortable with potential changes, or if a few years in the fixed rates are far more attractive you can convert from a variable to a fixed rate mortgage. Win-win.


Deciding whether to go fixed or variable is absolutely an individual decision for all of the reasons above.


When the economist was asked whether he would choose a fixed or a variable mortgage himself right now there was no hesitation whatsoever. 


“Variable all day long” was his answer.



It will be interesting to see where rates are a year from now.

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

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By Tracy Head June 26, 2026
If there is one question I hear more than any other from Canadians looking to buy a home, it's this: "How much can I actually afford?" It's a great question, and frankly, it's one that deserves more attention than simply finding out the maximum mortgage amount a lender is willing to approve. While mortgage qualification guidelines provide a useful starting point, they don't always tell the whole story. The amount a lender says you can borrow and the amount you can comfortably afford are often two very different numbers. Let's start with what affects affordability. One of the biggest factors is the type and amount of income you earn. A salaried employee with a stable employment history will generally have a straightforward qualification process. However, self-employed individuals, commissioned salespeople, seasonal workers, and those with multiple income sources may qualify differently. Lenders carefully examine the stability and consistency of income when determining how much mortgage financing they are willing to provide. Consumer debt is another major factor. Credit card balances, lines of credit, car loans, personal loans, and other monthly obligations all reduce purchasing power. Every dollar committed to debt payments is a dollar that cannot be allocated toward a mortgage payment. It is not uncommon for borrowers to increase their purchasing power significantly simply by reducing or eliminating high monthly debt obligations before applying for a mortgage. The size of your down payment also plays an important role. A larger down payment reduces the amount you need to borrow and often improves your overall financial position. In some cases, a larger down payment can help borrowers qualify for homes that might otherwise be out of reach. It can also lower monthly payments and reduce the total amount of interest paid over the life of the mortgage. Of course, lenders use formulas and qualification ratios to determine affordability. These calculations consider mortgage payments, property taxes, heating costs, and other obligations. However, these formulas do not always account for the realities of everyday life. That's why I often encourage clients to think beyond what they can qualify for and focus on what they can comfortably live with. A mortgage should support your life, not control it. Many Canadians are surprised to discover that once they factor in groceries, fuel, insurance, utilities, childcare, activities for children, pet expenses, travel plans, and rising day-to-day living costs, there is less room in the monthly budget than they initially expected. Homeownership also comes with unexpected expenses. Furnaces fail. Appliances break down. Roofs need repairs. Vehicles require maintenance. Life happens. If your mortgage payment consumes every available dollar each month, even a relatively small unexpected expense can create financial stress. For this reason, I often recommend that homebuyers leave some breathing room in their budget whenever possible. Choosing a home that costs slightly less than the maximum amount you qualify for can provide flexibility and peace of mind. It allows you to continue saving for retirement, build an emergency fund, take a family vacation, or simply sleep better at night knowing you have a financial cushion. Before making an offer on a home, I encourage buyers to look at the complete monthly picture. Consider not only the mortgage payment but also property taxes, home insurance, utilities, maintenance costs, and any strata or condominium fees. Then compare those costs against your current spending habits and financial goals. The goal is not simply to buy a home. The goal is to own a home comfortably while maintaining the lifestyle and financial security that matter to you and your family. The most successful homeowners are often not the ones who borrow the most money. They're the ones who make thoughtful decisions, leave room in their budget for life's surprises, and build long-term financial stability along the way. So the next time you ask, "How much can I actually afford?" remember that the answer isn't just about what the bank will approve. It's about what allows you to enjoy your home while still enjoying your life.
By Tracy Head June 13, 2026
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