Fixed or variable mortgages in a time of interest hikes

Tracy Head • October 24, 2022

Last weekend I attended the mortgage professionals conference in Vancouver. My goal was to take in as many professional development sessions as possible because I’m finding we are moving forward in a very strange interest rate environment.

Ironically, and I never thought I’d ever say this, the session I got the most from (and arguably enjoyed the most) was the presentation by Benjamin Tal. Tal is the managing director and deputy chief economist at CIBC Capital Markets Inc.


He spoke about his thoughts on our current rate environment, the forces driving the Bank of Canada’s economic policies, and where he felt rates will go.


He also spoke about the unprecedented rate hikes we’ve seen this year. The Bank of Canada is trying desperately to curb inflation and he thought the bank has gone too far and has overreached with the rate hikes this year.


I am a fan of variable rate mortgages. One of the key factors that influences this is the cost of breaking your mortgage early. If you need to pay your mortgage in full and it doesn’t make sense (or doesn’t work) to port your current mortgage, the maximum penalty you will be charged is three months’ interest.


With a fixed mortgage, the penalty to break your mortgage is normally the greater of either the interest rate differential (IRD) or three months’ interest. Investopedia.ca shows how an IRD penalty is calculated:


“An IRD weighs the contrast in interest rates between two similar interest-bearing assets. Most often it is the difference between two interest rates.”


This type of penalty can be substantial. I’m currently working with a client who is selling a luxury property whose current mortgage is up for renewal. It is a sizeable mortgage and he is understandably concerned about the volatility of mortgage interest rates right now.


I did the math for him. Had he locked into a five-year fixed-rate mortgage, based on where rates are now and the balance of his mortgage, his penalty was in the range of $32,000. The variable rate penalty, again based on today’s balance and rate, would be around $6,000. So for this particular client who is absolutely going to be selling his home in the next year the potential increase in payment due to rising rates was a far more palatable option than a penalty in the $32,000 range.


All this aside, for many Canadians in variable mortgages the incredible rate hikes we’ve seen this year make a massive dent in their monthly budget. It’s really tempting to think about locking into a fixed rate product for the stability of the payment.


One consideration is how you will feel if you lock into a rate in the mid to high five per cent range when rates start to move down again. Will you sleep better at night knowing you have the security of a fixed payment? Are you losing sleep thinking about where rates are going?


I recommend you think about why you chose variable in the first place. You likely enjoyed really low rates for the first part of your term and will very likely enjoy lower rates towards the end of your term as rates start to trend down again.


I guess I should have started with that. Tal’s take is that we are in for another significant rate hike very soon but he feels rates will stabilize next year and start trending down again towards the end of next year or early 2024.


One option is splitting the difference. There are lenders who offer true variable mortgages with a static payment. This means that regardless of where rates move your payment stays the same. I should say, it stays the same until the increase in rate means you aren’t paying enough to cover the interest due which in turn will affect your amortization.


You would have to pay a three-month interest penalty to break your current mortgage to switch to a lender that offers a static payment. Most lenders will allow you to capitalize up to $3,000 of your penalty into your new mortgage (more if you do a refinance instead of a straight switch, providing you have enough equity for this to work).


Going this route you will still enjoy the benefit of a variable rate mortgage once rates start moving down again, without worrying about potential penalties if you have to pay out your mortgage unexpectedly.


If you’d like to chat about this, and see if it’s a fit for you, I am happy to do a mortgage check-up and offer some insight.

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

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Mitigating Mortgage Moments

By Tracy Head • February 7, 2025
This week I had a panicked call from a realtor I work with on a regular basis. One of her sellers had a sale that looked like it was going to collapse. He was counting on the sale of that home for the down payment of his next home. She called mid-day Wednesday. The sale was supposed to complete on Friday. She asked if I could talk to the purchaser and potentially arrange financing for her. Before you read the next part, this is not intended to single out any particular bank or mortgage person. It could just as easily be a mortgage broker or a branch employee. The back story is that the purchaser had been working with a mortgage specialist from one of the chartered banks since mid-December. The specialist gave the client the go-ahead to remove her financing subject January 17th. The specialist then said they needed to extend the closing date by a week. Then by another week. Then she told the client she would have to come up with twenty per cent for her down payment. The client scrambled and came up with the additional money needed for her financing to be approved. I might not have believed this story except I did see the email chain. So what actually happened? My guess is that the mortgage specialist did not have an approval in place with the insurer or her bank when she gave the client the ok to remove her financing. The client had not seen nor signed any mortgage paperwork before removing her financing subject; she was trusting that her mortgage person had things well in hand being as she was told she was approved and things were fine. The buyer in this case is a first-time home buyer and did not know any different. I have pulled off the odd miracle in my days but I had serious doubts about being able to help this client in one day, especially being as she was buying in a smaller remote community so we had fewer options. We were working on her application and 6:00 pm Wednesday evening had word that the bank she was originally working with had come through and would be sending mortgage instructions to the lawyer the following morning (we are now at the day prior to closing). When you are purchasing a home and applying for mortgage financing, I feel it is so important to work with a team of professionals that have your back. As someone who has never bought a home before or maybe hasn’t done so in many years its important to do your homework and understand the process. If you think things are going sideways with your financing please make sure you ask questions to better understand what’s happening. If you have a feeling that something is really wrong, don’t wait until you have no other options. When you choose a mortgage professional to work with (and realtor for that matter) do a bit of homework. Ask your friends who they have used and what their experience was like.  Buying a home is stressful enough on a good day, but what this poor client has been through could have been avoided had she had a better idea of what the home-buying process was supposed to look like.

Private Lenders

By Tracy Head • January 24, 2025
The easy fix isn’t always the right fix. I’ve been wondering how long it would take to see the fallout as clients who have been paying really low interest rates come up for renewal. We have all experienced a steep increase in the cost of living. Even though rates now are sitting where most clients qualified with the stress test when they originally got their mortgages, for many people life has happened in the meantime. What do I mean by that? Often clients are having to push right to the top of what they qualify for just to get into the housing market. As we are going through the mortgage approval process we talk about keeping big consumer purchases (financing a car or furniture as an example) to a minimum as additional loan payments reduce borrowing power. Once clients are into a home life does indeed happen. The older car dies and a new car is necessary. Little ones come along and that can affect family income and add a daycare bill to the bottom line. Property taxes increase. Grocery prices skyrocket. You know the list. Balances start creeping up on credit cards or lines of credit. There are lots of different mortgage products to help with consolidation of debt. Lately the challenge has been that even if clients have significant equity in their homes with the increased interest rates they may not qualify with traditional lenders. Alternative lenders and private lenders come into play as options in this case. I’ll leave the alternative lenders to another day because I have a cautionary tale about private lenders. Not all private lenders are created equal. I have several that I work with when my clients need a solution in the private world. There is a time and a place where a private mortgage is the ideal fit. As long as you have an exit strategy (a plan as to how it will be paid out in a relatively short time frame ie: one year) this can be a great option for clients. Then there is the private lender that hurts my heart. Heavy catchy marketing bombards us from multiple venues. Their jingle is running through my head as I write this. For them the bottom line is that if you have adequate equity in your home you are approved. Cool. That fixes the immediate problem. However, more times than I like to think about, this lender creates far bigger problems for people. Despite the fact that you have equity in your home you still have to make the payments on these private mortgages. Interest rates are usually around the 14% mark so payments are high and you are not making any headway with paying down the mortgage. If there is no significant increase in your income you struggle and find yourself in a financial bind again. They set up another mortgage with an even higher rate. When you sign on for a private mortgage your are responsible for covering your legal fees, the lender’s legal fees, and there is also a lender fee that is included. Even a small private mortgage can end up costing almost $10,000 to put in place. If you couldn’t cover expenses with your first mortgage (at reasonable rates) guess what happens when you start adding in more and bigger payments on top of your normal expenses? For most people the only out at this point is selling their home. That is a very hard conversation for me to have with clients, especially when they’ve been in their home for many years. If you are finding that there is more month than money, sitting down and reviewing your expenses is the first step to take. Are there any areas that you are able to cut back? Do you have any options for increasing your income?  If the answer is no, talking to a mortgage professional sooner rather than later may help identify some options before you end up in a never-ending cycle of sleepless nights and missed payments.
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