Interest rate increases – Are we done yet?

Tracy Head • November 7, 2022

While many in the mortgage world anticipated rates to increase this year, I don’t think anyone expected them to increase so much and so quickly.


What we’ve seen is unprecedented. If you are in a fixed rate mortgage these rate increases won’t affect you until you reach the end of your current term. At that point you will need to carefully consider where rates are at the time and decide whether you are going to opt for a fixed rate again, and if so for how long.


If you are currently in a variable mortgage there are a couple of things that may be happening for you right now. If you are in an adjustable rate mortgage (ARM), your mortgage payment will have increased as prime has increased. That means that your remaining amortization is still on track.


It likely also means, however, you are starting to feel a pinch when making your mortgage payment. I know, I’m in an ARM and my payment has increased by more than $500 per month since March.


If you are in a variable rate mortgage (VRM), your mortgage payment will have stayed the same despite the rate increases but you are now at a tipping point, where the payment you are making may not even be covering the interest due on your mortgage. That can potentially mean either you are no longer paying down any of the principal balance or the principal balance is increasing.

That means the remaining amortization (length of time to pay off your mortgage) will be increasing as well.


For clients who are in VRMs, they are reaching what is known as the “trigger” rate (the tipping point I mentioned above). Financial institutions are starting to reach out to those clients to make alternate arrangements to make their mortgage payments.


Some of the options presented will likely include:


• Increasing your payment based on the current variable rate to bring the payment back to the point that it is paying down principal again.

• Make a lump sum payment and keep your payment the same.

• Convert to a fixed rate which will be increased to keep your amortization on track.


Whether you are in a VRM or an ARM, the increases to your mortgage payments smart.


Before you consider a knee-jerk reaction of locking into a five-year, fixed term, it is important to ask yourself why you are in a variable mortgage in the first place.


It is also important to do some serious thinking about your plans for the next few years.


While locking in for a longer term may feel attractive after how unsettling this year has been, if you are anticipating any kind of a major change to your life or your financial situation it may be a wise choice to stick with your original plan of the variable mortgage.

I am seeing a fair number of people choosing shorter, fixed terms in anticipation of rates softening again.


As a positive sign, I am starting to see rate specials posted by multiple lenders. This week, my favourite lender dropped its five-year fixed rate (for insured mortgages) from 5.84% to 5.44% and then again to 5.29%.


I think we will see rates drop a bit more before the next rate announcement on Dec. 7.


If you are struggling with the increased payments on your mortgage, I urge you to reach out to your mortgage person as soon as possible.


Lenders do not want to be in the foreclosure business, so most are open to working with their clients to find a solution that provides some relief and stability

Tracy Head

Mortgage Broker

GET STARTED
Two people reviewing papers outside suburban houses on a sunny street
By Tracy Head June 26, 2026
If there is one question I hear more than any other from Canadians looking to buy a home, it's this: "How much can I actually afford?" It's a great question, and frankly, it's one that deserves more attention than simply finding out the maximum mortgage amount a lender is willing to approve. While mortgage qualification guidelines provide a useful starting point, they don't always tell the whole story. The amount a lender says you can borrow and the amount you can comfortably afford are often two very different numbers. Let's start with what affects affordability. One of the biggest factors is the type and amount of income you earn. A salaried employee with a stable employment history will generally have a straightforward qualification process. However, self-employed individuals, commissioned salespeople, seasonal workers, and those with multiple income sources may qualify differently. Lenders carefully examine the stability and consistency of income when determining how much mortgage financing they are willing to provide. Consumer debt is another major factor. Credit card balances, lines of credit, car loans, personal loans, and other monthly obligations all reduce purchasing power. Every dollar committed to debt payments is a dollar that cannot be allocated toward a mortgage payment. It is not uncommon for borrowers to increase their purchasing power significantly simply by reducing or eliminating high monthly debt obligations before applying for a mortgage. The size of your down payment also plays an important role. A larger down payment reduces the amount you need to borrow and often improves your overall financial position. In some cases, a larger down payment can help borrowers qualify for homes that might otherwise be out of reach. It can also lower monthly payments and reduce the total amount of interest paid over the life of the mortgage. Of course, lenders use formulas and qualification ratios to determine affordability. These calculations consider mortgage payments, property taxes, heating costs, and other obligations. However, these formulas do not always account for the realities of everyday life. That's why I often encourage clients to think beyond what they can qualify for and focus on what they can comfortably live with. A mortgage should support your life, not control it. Many Canadians are surprised to discover that once they factor in groceries, fuel, insurance, utilities, childcare, activities for children, pet expenses, travel plans, and rising day-to-day living costs, there is less room in the monthly budget than they initially expected. Homeownership also comes with unexpected expenses. Furnaces fail. Appliances break down. Roofs need repairs. Vehicles require maintenance. Life happens. If your mortgage payment consumes every available dollar each month, even a relatively small unexpected expense can create financial stress. For this reason, I often recommend that homebuyers leave some breathing room in their budget whenever possible. Choosing a home that costs slightly less than the maximum amount you qualify for can provide flexibility and peace of mind. It allows you to continue saving for retirement, build an emergency fund, take a family vacation, or simply sleep better at night knowing you have a financial cushion. Before making an offer on a home, I encourage buyers to look at the complete monthly picture. Consider not only the mortgage payment but also property taxes, home insurance, utilities, maintenance costs, and any strata or condominium fees. Then compare those costs against your current spending habits and financial goals. The goal is not simply to buy a home. The goal is to own a home comfortably while maintaining the lifestyle and financial security that matter to you and your family. The most successful homeowners are often not the ones who borrow the most money. They're the ones who make thoughtful decisions, leave room in their budget for life's surprises, and build long-term financial stability along the way. So the next time you ask, "How much can I actually afford?" remember that the answer isn't just about what the bank will approve. It's about what allows you to enjoy your home while still enjoying your life.
By Tracy Head June 13, 2026
One of the most common misconceptions I hear from clients who are self-employed is that getting a mortgage is either impossible or requires years of perfect financial statements. Fortunately, that's simply not true. Canada's workforce has changed dramatically over the past decade. More people than ever are running their own businesses, working as contractors, driving revenue through side hustles, consulting, freelancing, or operating incorporated companies. Lenders have adapted to recognize that self-employed borrowers often have strong incomes, even if their tax returns don't tell the whole story. The key is understanding that mortgage qualification for self-employed individuals is different—not necessarily harder. Why Self-Employed Income Can Be Challenging Most traditional mortgage lenders rely heavily on income reported to the Canada Revenue Agency. The challenge is that many business owners work with accountants to legitimately reduce taxable income through business deductions and write-offs. While this strategy can lower taxes, it can also create challenges when applying for a mortgage. For example, a business owner may generate $150,000 annually but only report $80,000 in taxable income after deductions. A lender reviewing only tax returns may see a very different financial picture than the reality of the business. Fortunately, lenders have developed several solutions specifically designed for entrepreneurs and business owners. Traditional Income Verification The first option is conventional financing. Many self-employed borrowers qualify through standard programs by providing two years of Notices of Assessment, T1 Generals, business financial statements, and supporting documentation. This route typically provides access to the lowest available interest rates and is often ideal for borrowers whose reported income accurately reflects their earnings. However, when taxable income doesn't fully represent actual cash flow, alternative solutions may be more appropriate. Insured Stated Income Programs One of the most valuable tools available to self-employed Canadians is the insured stated income mortgage program. These products are available through lenders that work with mortgage insurers such as Sagen and Canada Guaranty. Under these programs, eligible self-employed borrowers can qualify based on a reasonable stated income amount that aligns with their occupation, industry, business revenues, and overall financial profile. Lenders still perform due diligence. Borrowers must demonstrate that their stated income is reasonable and supported by the business. Documents such as business licenses, GST registrations, articles of incorporation, bank statements, and proof of business activity are commonly reviewed. This program can be a game-changer for successful entrepreneurs whose tax returns don't fully reflect their true earning capacity. Generally, borrowers must have been self-employed for at least two years, maintain good credit, and provide a minimum down payment that meets insurer requirements. Business-for-Self Programs Through Alternative Lenders For some borrowers, particularly those with shorter self-employment histories or more complex income situations, alternative lenders can offer additional flexibility. These lenders often take a more holistic approach, reviewing business bank statements, retained earnings, contracts, assets, and overall financial strength rather than focusing solely on taxable income. While rates and fees may be slightly higher than traditional financing, alternative lending can provide an excellent stepping stone toward future conventional financing. The Manulife Small Business Owner Program One niche solution that has generated significant interest among self-employed Canadians is the Manulife Bank Small Business Owner Program. This program is designed specifically for incorporated business owners and can provide an alternative method of income qualification by looking beyond traditional personal income reporting. In many cases, the program considers factors such as corporate financial performance, retained earnings, and the overall health of the business. This can be particularly beneficial for incorporated entrepreneurs who intentionally leave profits within their company for growth and tax planning purposes. Programs like this recognize a reality that many business owners face: what appears on a personal tax return may not accurately represent their true financial strength. Credit Still Matters Regardless of which mortgage program is being considered, credit remains one of the most important factors. Strong credit scores demonstrate responsible financial management and can significantly improve both approval odds and financing options. Before applying for a mortgage, self-employed borrowers should ensure that payments are current, credit card balances are managed responsibly, and any errors on their credit report are addressed. Preparation Makes All the Difference The most successful self-employed mortgage applications are usually the result of preparation. Having organized financial records, current tax filings, business banking information, and supporting documentation readily available can make the approval process significantly smoother. Working with a mortgage broker can also be particularly valuable because brokers have access to a wide range of lenders, including major banks, credit unions, monoline lenders, and specialized self-employed programs that may not be available directly through a branch. The Bottom Line Being self-employed should not prevent you from achieving homeownership.  Today's mortgage marketplace offers more options than ever before for entrepreneurs, contractors, consultants, tradespeople, and small business owners. From traditional income verification to insured stated income solutions and specialized programs such as Manulife's Small Business Owner Program, there are pathways available for many different situations. If you're self-employed and considering a home purchase or refinance, don't assume the answer is no. Often, the challenge isn't qualifying for a mortgage—it's simply finding the lender and program that best understands how your business operates.